Foothills Fall Fight 2023

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 10, 2023 at 9:00 AM

The Simpsonville Activity Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 ELWELL Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% < 1%
2 SHELBY Grace 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 29% 9% 1% -
3 MATHEW Gaius 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
3 WILSON Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 76% 46% 17% 3%
5 LAUSI Maxime 100% 79% 36% 7% 1% - - - -
6 GARRETT David 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 44% 16% 3%
7 NELSON Tripp 100% 99% 93% 68% 33% 9% 2% - -
8 BAILEY Maisie 100% 99% 92% 74% 46% 21% 6% 1% -
9 SCOTT Polk 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.