BladeRunner ROC / RJC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KRASILNIKOV Rostislav 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
2 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 FRIAS Saul F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
3 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
5 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 BYON Adrian 100% 99% 87% 45% 10% 1%
7 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
8 AURAY Phileas 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
9 PARK Justin W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
10 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
11 MUSGRAVE Walter N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
12 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 5%
13 CHENEY Christopher (Chris) M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 2%
14 POFF Kainoa 100% 99% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
15 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
16 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
17 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
18 TANN Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
19 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
20 CHO Justin W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
21 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
22 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 9%
23 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
24 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
25 PAN Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 5%
26 HWANG Jayden 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
27 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
28 LE Hayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
29 BOWEI Yang 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
30 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
31 BARRIOS Diego 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
32 STONE Esmond A. 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
33 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 10% -
34 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
35 SUORSA Markus 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
36 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
37 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 72% 23% 3% < 1% -
38 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
39 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
40 LEE Noah 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
41 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
42 SOWERS Samuel 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
43 BYON Julian 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
44 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
45 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 93% 59% 19% 2%
46 LO Konnor 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
47 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
48 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
49 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
50 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
51 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
52 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
53 PATRICO Peter 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
54 KANG Evan 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
55 BUI Joseph 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
56 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
57 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
58 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
59 DUDNICK Christian 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
60 OLARIO Raphael 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
61 HERRERA Aragon 100% 94% 49% 12% 1% - -
62 ANDRES Michael 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
63 LI Seth 100% 99% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
64 BLANCO Matt 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
65 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
66 BULLARD Bennett 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
67 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
68 WANG HongXi 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
69 TSAI Michael T. 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
70 TUNG Ryan 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
71 NGO Maximus 100% 93% 58% 13% 1% - -
72 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
73 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
74 PETRICK Cody 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
75 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9% -
76 ROSALES Vincent 100% 24% 2% - - - -
77 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 91% 52% 17% 3% - -
78 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
79 CHEN Jeremy 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
79 RIGG Brian 100% 2% - - - - -
81 SEELMAN Cole 100% 10% - - - - -
82 GOMES John F. 100% 83% 35% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.