NJFA RYC / RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SHU Youshan	-	-	-	3%	17%	43%	37%
2	LEE Lavender	-	1%	10%	33%	41%	16%
3	PRESMAN Aerin	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	9%
3	LI Fei	-	-	-	1%	11%	39%	48%
5	SMUK Alexandra S.	-	-	-	6%	32%	61%
6	SEREGIN Katya	4%	21%	40%	29%	6%
7	REKEDA Anna	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	3%
8	LEE Claire	-	2%	14%	41%	44%
9	NOVOJILOV Anastasia	-	1%	7%	25%	43%	25%
10	LIN Laura	-	4%	19%	37%	29%	10%	1%
11	BRAGG Leah	-	7%	36%	39%	15%	2%
12	KOVALCHUK Erika S.	-	5%	22%	40%	28%	4%
13	CHANG Chloe	1%	6%	23%	37%	27%	7%
14	MEYER Rachel	7%	29%	40%	21%	3%
15	BISONO Valentina	6%	24%	37%	25%	7%	1%	-
16	MISHIMA Audrey	-	2%	11%	32%	36%	16%	2%
17	WANG Trinity	-	1%	7%	27%	43%	23%
18	SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
19	CHEN Alicia	1%	10%	30%	37%	19%	3%
20	ORAEDU Dilinna	-	1%	6%	23%	39%	26%	6%
21	SATO Elyse	21%	46%	26%	6%	1%	-	-
22	AGAON Evelyn	1%	9%	31%	39%	18%	2%
23	FANG Kayla	8%	28%	35%	22%	6%	1%
24	LEEB Zoe	8%	29%	37%	20%	5%	-	-
25	SHANKERDAS Shreeya	10%	33%	38%	17%	2%
26	KANG kailin	7%	34%	39%	17%	3%	-
27	GOODSON Tia	-	3%	18%	42%	31%	7%
28	PETROFF Eva	3%	18%	37%	31%	10%	1%
29	CHATIKHINE Anastasia	-	1%	5%	22%	38%	28%	6%
30	WANG Selina	5%	22%	36%	26%	9%	1%	-
31	DHAIYA Tanya	6%	51%	34%	9%	1%	-
32	SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna	2%	15%	39%	32%	11%	1%	-
33	LOBANOVA Varvara	9%	33%	37%	17%	3%	-
34	NGUYEN Ashley L.	-	2%	12%	32%	39%	15%
35	MILLER Cassandra	48%	39%	11%	1%	-	-
36	MEYER Rebecca	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%
37	YANG Charlotte	2%	17%	38%	32%	10%	1%
38	WROBEL Julia	27%	43%	24%	5%	-
39	ALVAREZ Martine	38%	42%	17%	3%	-	-
40	MARTINEZ RAMOS Paola	6%	27%	39%	23%	5%	-
41	KENNEDY Shea	80%	19%	1%	-	-	-
42	IYENGAR Sarla	4%	18%	34%	29%	12%	2%	-
43	BEJUGAMA Lasya	32%	43%	20%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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