The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

NJFA RYC / RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 3:30 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUSID Mikayla - - - - - 5% 95%
2 NISSINOFF Alexandra - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
3 CALISE Ella - - - 3% 31% 66%
3 MCSHERRY Ava - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
5 FENG Grace - - - - 6% 33% 60%
6 PAULUS Sloane E. - - 3% 25% 55% 16%
7 TANG Melody Fujiao 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
8 YU Jane - 12% 36% 37% 14% 2%
9 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
10 KAPRAN Anastasia - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11% -
11 SHIM Grace J. - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
12 ZHENG Julie - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
13 PEVZNER Nicole - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
14 WANG Yudi 2% 19% 45% 28% 6% -
15 HARRIS Julia 1% 15% 39% 34% 11% 1%
16 PAULUS Isabella 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
17 WANG Jasmine - - 6% 28% 45% 20%
18 LI Eleanor - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
19 CHOW Annabelle - - 3% 21% 45% 30%
20 WANG Sabrina - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 8%
21 DIMATULAC Elise Ann - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
22 WANG Joanna - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24% 1%
23 SHMAY Anastasia - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
24 WANG Amabel - 4% 20% 38% 29% 7%
25 BABIAC Julia 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
26 SHENG Katherine 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
27 ZHANG Selena - 2% 17% 42% 32% 7%
28 HWANG Chanel 4% 22% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
29 LI Han (Helina) - 5% 36% 41% 15% 2%
30 CHENG Isa 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
31 BASILE Gianna 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
32 LI Xiang (Shining) 28% 46% 22% 3% - -
33 BING Charlotte 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4% -
34 YURKOVA Mariia - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 14%
35 BERGEL Daphne - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% 1%
36 KIM Claire 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
37 LI Katerina 11% 47% 33% 8% 1% -
38 JOO Natalie - 2% 23% 44% 26% 5%
39 LAWRENCE Nia 21% 46% 28% 5% - -
40 LIU Jingyi (Eva) - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
41 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
42 LEVY Avery - 1% 10% 30% 39% 17% 2%
43 HUANG Sophie 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
44 DONG Angela - 6% 28% 49% 17% 1%
45 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 2% 28% 43% 23% 5% -
46 BADLANI Diya 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
47 MARTIRE Alessandra 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% - -
48 SUN Isabella 1% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
49 WU Celine - < 1% 6% 29% 45% 19%
50 CULLEN Alyssa 10% 36% 40% 13% 1% -
51 BELISTRI Isabella 78% 20% 1% - - -
52 CHUNG Chloe 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
53 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire - < 1% 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
54 WANG Nicky 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
55 CHOI Erin 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
56 LIN Yunong 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
57 MCFARLANE Asha 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
58 LYON Claire 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
59 FENG Audrey 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
60 LAZAR Carolina 66% 30% 4% - - -
61 ANRIG Sydney 11% 70% 17% 1% - -
62 WAN Celine 84% 15% 1% - - -
62 BERG Samara 36% 46% 16% 2% - -
64 MCDERMOTT Catherine 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.