The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

NJFA RYC / RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 5:30 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
2 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
3 MEHAN Nicholas - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 CHEN Jonathan - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
5 KIM Theodore - 2% 11% 33% 39% 14% 1%
6 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 4% 24% 46% 26%
7 CHUNG Connor - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
8 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
9 KIM Ethan - - 4% 20% 46% 30%
10 LEE Andrew - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
11 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
12 BONETTI Brayden - 3% 14% 35% 35% 12% 1%
13 VAROQUA Nalby - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
14 ZHAO Lucas - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
15 SIMMONS John M. - 3% 15% 36% 33% 11% 1%
16 JONES Elijah 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
17 FRANCOIS Alexander C. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
18 FELDMAN Drew - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
19 BRANDT Jaden - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
20 CLARK Aram - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
21 URSU Marcel T. - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
22 HUANG Maxwell H. - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
23 TSAO Oliver - 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
24 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% 1%
25 YOOK Isaac 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5%
26 LIM Brandon - 2% 16% 39% 31% 10% 1%
26 PENG Chris 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
28 CLARK Gabriel - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
29 SUBA Lucas 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
30 MANESCU Miron 4% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
31 WITCZAK Mateus - 4% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2%
32 PRIEUR Christian F. 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 3% -
33 SADHU Neiyam - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
34 HU Christopher - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
35 WONG Caleb W. 3% 23% 43% 24% 5% 1% -
36 SALDARINI Glenn - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
37 DOMINIQUE Remson - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
38 SCHIMEL Luke 1% 12% 30% 33% 19% 5% -
39 LIU Isaak 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
40 WANG tiger 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
41 MATTINGLY Ian 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
42 MARGULIS Jared 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
43 MCDONALD Finn 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
44 JANUS Maksymilian - 1% 6% 21% 38% 30% 5%
45 LIGH Checed 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
46 COUNTS Nicholas 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
47 SIMATOS Luka D. 17% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
48 KOGAN Yelisey L. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
49 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
50 BUCK Maximilian 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
51 SAYAR Luke 10% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
52 POWER Alex - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
53 ZHAO Martin 17% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
54 JI Johnson 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
55 KONG Alan 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
56 LAMTAN Christoffer 3% 20% 38% 28% 10% 1% -
57 GOMEZ Emilio 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
58 BANSAL Krishiv 48% 39% 12% 1% - - -
59 JAIN Karanvir 15% 44% 32% 8% 1% - -
60 TSAO Alister 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
61 KETT Richard 41% 40% 16% 3% - -
61 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
63 JIANG Terence 43% 42% 14% 2% - - -
64 ENGERRAN Michael 49% 41% 9% 1% - - -
65 CHEN Derrick 34% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
65 EMIR Koray 6% 30% 41% 19% 4% - -
67 WENG Gordon 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.