Burton Epee Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Patten Gymnasium, Northwestern University - Evanston, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
3 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 98% 82% 34% 2%
3 MALEADY Sean 100% 73% 30% 5% - -
5 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
6 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 21%
7 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
8 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% -
9 TREANOR Donald K. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
10 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
11 VARNEY Douglas W. 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 1%
12 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 92% 59% 18% 2% -
13 CANCELO Jose 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
14 CORRALES Victor M. 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
15 PAPP Mike 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
16 TIERNEY Luke 100% 96% 75% 34% 6% -
17 DESAI Aadi 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
18 LORINCE Jared 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.