Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 80% 23% 1%
2 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
3 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
5 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
6 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
7 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 16%
8 MCGANN Grant 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
9 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 99% 86% 43% 10% 1%
10 WHITE Jackson 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
11 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
12 GIORDANO Zach 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
13 ARMFIELD JR Jerome Marcus 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
14 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
15 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
16 FOGEL Jake 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
17 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 9%
18 CHEN Evan 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
19 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 99% 90% 54% 12% 1%
20 BRESLAV Asher 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
21 SMITH Theo 100% 91% 56% 15% 2% -
22 LIU George Yikyen 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
23 YU George 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
24 SHI Evan 100% 74% 31% 6% - -
25 MCGINLEY Felix 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
26 SANTANA Sebastian 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
27 MINKOFF Liev 100% 95% 72% 32% 6% -
28 WAGNER Miles 100% 99% 85% 39% 6% -
29 LANDMAN Martin 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
30 BEYER Timothy 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
30 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
32 YOON Jonathan 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
33 LIU Kyle 100% 78% 21% 2% - -
34 JIN Derek 100% 49% 9% 1% - -
35 ROFINO Samuel 100% 92% 63% 23% 3% -
36 PTASZEK Adam 100% 82% 36% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.