The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 XIAO julie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
5 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
6 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
7 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
8 DONG Angel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
9 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
10 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
11 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
12 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
13 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
14 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
15 BERMAN Greta 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
16 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
17 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
18 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
19 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
20 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
21 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
22 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46% 8%
23 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
24 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
25 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
25 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
27 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 3%
28 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
29 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
30 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
31 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
32 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 97% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
33 NAYAK Antara 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% < 1% -
34 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 5%
35 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33% 4%
36 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
37 VINOKUR Anita 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
38 NEUMAN Ella 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1%
39 KANDADAI Lara 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
40 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6%
41 MACKAY Katherine 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
42 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
43 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
44 BAINS Nandini 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
45 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
46 BROWN Aria 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
47 BORGUETA Madison 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% - -
48 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 96% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
49 LI Alexis 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
50 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
51 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
52 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
53 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
54 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
55 MAK Kaitlin 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
56 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
57 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
58 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 3% -
59 LEIGH Adalene 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
60 WONG Charlene 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
61 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
62 HARRISON Allie 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
63 CHANG Elle 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
64 ONG Lauren 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
65 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
66 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
67 SHEN Emily 100% 80% 32% 6% 1% -
68 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
68 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
70 YAN Lena 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
71 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
72 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
73 LOCONTO Sophia 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
74 KIM Audrey 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
75 FIGELMAN Maya 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
76 XU Elaine 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
77 PALEY Alisa 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
78 BARNES Sarah 100% 95% 70% 27% 5% - -
79 YOON Sela 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% - -
80 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 6% -
81 LEE Kaitlin 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
82 GUHA Surabhi 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -
83 KWON Ava 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
84 REKHTMAN Alice 100% 76% 28% 4% - -
85 LEE Kaelyn 100% 88% 47% 12% 2% - -
85 GETZONI Mary 100% 26% 3% - - - -
87 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
88 ROBERTSON Szilvia 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
88 SHMULER Fiona 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.