Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 4:30 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
2 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
3 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
5 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
7 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
8 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18% 2%
9 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
10 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
11 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
12 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
13 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
14 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
15 RYAN Kai 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
16 HUANG Tom 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
17 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
18 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
19 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
20 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
21 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
22 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
23 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
24 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
25 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
25 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 2%
27 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
28 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
29 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% 1%
30 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
31 PINTO Marcus 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
32 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
33 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
34 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 3%
35 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
36 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
37 WANG Daniel 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
38 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
39 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
40 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
41 LIGH Checed 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
42 AO Christopher 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
43 BROU Inkosi 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
44 HU Christopher 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
45 BHATIA Ekam 100% 99% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
46 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 4%
47 MARGULIS Jared 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
48 ENGEL Peter 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
49 SMINK Oliver 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
50 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
50 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
50 TOZZI Massimo 100% 96% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
53 TSAO Oliver 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
54 DOWNEY Baran 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
55 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
56 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
57 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
58 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
59 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
60 YOSHEA Henry 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
61 GONG zihao 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
62 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
63 WAGNER Calvin 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
64 RAMIREZ Nicholas 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
65 SIMMONS John M. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
66 RIDKY Sam 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
67 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
68 LAUB William 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
69 ZHU Shao 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
70 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
70 JIN David 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
72 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
73 KESSLER Nathan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
74 POWER Alex 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
75 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% - -
76 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
77 KESSLER Josh 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
78 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 90% 53% 14% 2% - -
79 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
80 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 93% 62% 21% 4% - -
81 SASSI Ilyas 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -
82 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
83 ZHENG LEON 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
84 SUBA Lucas 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
85 LIN Steve 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% -
86 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
87 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
87 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
89 COURTIN Frederic 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
90 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
91 TSAO Alister 100% 87% 32% 5% - - -
92 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
93 WOLMART Zander 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
93 HOWARD Demani 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
95 DICARLO Vincent 100% 30% 2% - - - -
96 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 11% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.