Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 3%
3 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
3 JIANG chenxi 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 3%
5 WONG Angelina 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7% -
6 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
7 JU Jennifer 100% 77% 31% 6% - -
8 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
9 XU Mulan 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
10 MISHIMA Olivia 100% 75% 36% 10% 2% - -
11 CHEN Yudian 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
12 AGARWAL Siyona 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
13 ADEN Aurora 100% 100% 98% 75% 34% 6%
14 CARDELLA Renee 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% -
15 CHAKRAPANI Tara 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
16 WILLIAMSON Aria 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
17 SINGH Maya 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
18 WARD Imani 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
19 YOUN Emily 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
20 HALL Sophie 100% 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.