The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Grace - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
2 MI Aileen - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
3 CHEN Renee - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
3 YU Jane - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
5 HAO Danica - - - 6% 31% 47% 15%
6 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
7 CALISE Ella - - - - 7% 35% 58%
8 WANG Jasmine - - 6% 29% 45% 20%
9 PAULUS Sloane E. - - 1% 11% 37% 41% 10%
10 LAO Sophia - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
11 FENG Audrey 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
12 FIELD Julianna - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
13 CHO Emily (Euran) - - 3% 21% 45% 31%
14 LI Eleanor - - 4% 26% 48% 23%
15 YANG Emma - - 1% 15% 45% 38%
16 ZHANG Selena - - 1% 8% 32% 45% 14%
17 KAPRAN Anastasia - 1% 6% 26% 43% 22% 3%
18 ZHOU Catherine - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
19 PAULUS Isabella - 1% 23% 47% 25% 4%
20 TRACZ Calleigh D. - - 5% 25% 43% 23% 3%
21 SHENG Katherine 2% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2%
22 BABIAC Julia - 3% 30% 44% 20% 3%
23 JOO Natalie - 2% 25% 44% 25% 4%
24 KIM Claire 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
25 CHEN Sophie 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
26 BERGEL Daphne - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
27 WANG Sabrina - - 3% 19% 45% 28% 4%
28 MARTIRE Alessandra 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 8% 1%
29 WANG Yudi 1% 8% 32% 39% 18% 3%
29 LI Han (Helina) - 3% 40% 43% 13% 1%
31 HUANG Sophie 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
32 ZHOU Sophia 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
33 CHAKRAPANI Ila 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
34 LI Xiang (Shining) 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
35 WANG Joanna - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
36 TSE Isabel 30% 51% 18% 2% - - -
37 BING Charlotte - 2% 17% 42% 31% 8% -
38 REZA Fukaina 3% 20% 39% 30% 7% 1% -
39 POWLEDGE Cora 3% 23% 47% 23% 4% - -
40 PUOPOLO Mia 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 2% -
41 DEEKEN Anna 12% 72% 15% 1% - -
42 CUSOLITO Jacklyn 43% 53% 4% - - -
43 KUMAR Ishana 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
44 ARRAIANO Olivia R. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
44 WILES Maeve 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
46 MCDERMOTT Catherine 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% - -
47 CHOI ERIN 28% 43% 23% 5% - - -
48 BELISTRI Isabella 51% 46% 2% - - -
49 BOGLE Sophia 83% 16% - - - -
50 NETTLETON Ava 34% 46% 17% 2% - - -
51 LIU Sophie 7% 31% 41% 18% 3% -
52 LI Yixin Catherine 27% 45% 23% 4% - - -
53 BROWN Chloe 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.