Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
2 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
3 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
3 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
5 GONG Joy 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
6 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 20%
7 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
8 GUHA Surabhi 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
9 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
10 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
11 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
12 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 20%
13 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
14 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
15 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
16 KWON Ava 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
17 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
18 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
19 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
20 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
21 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
22 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
23 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
24 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
25 MAK Kaitlin 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
26 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
27 SHMULER Fiona 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
28 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
29 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
30 KWON Ava 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
31 SHEN Emily 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
32 HILD Anya 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
33 LEE Kaitlin 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
34 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
35 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
36 CHOI Charlotte 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
36 MACKAY Katherine 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
38 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
39 HO Sophia 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
40 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
41 TIAN Cynthia 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
42 MAK Jayden 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
43 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
44 BROWN Aria 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
45 WONG Charlene 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
46 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
47 JUILLERAT Elina 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
48 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
49 PARK Haylie 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
50 PALEY Alisa 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
51 LEE Hannah 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
52 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
53 HARRISON Allie 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
54 LEIGH Adalene 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
55 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
55 LAFFY Lily 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
57 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
57 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
59 CUTLER Juliet 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
60 FIGELMAN Maya 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
61 CHURCH Madeline 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
62 CASTELO Soleil 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
63 YOON Sela 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
64 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
65 BARNES Sarah 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
66 KIM Grace 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
67 ZONG Eliane 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
68 ALMEDA Galina 100% 82% 46% 15% 3% - -
68 SMITH Genevieve 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.