Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
2 WANG Joanna - - - - 3% 23% 74%
3 YIN Chloe 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
3 FIELD Elizabeth - - - - 1% 13% 87%
5 KRAHE Annika - - - 4% 23% 51% 21%
6 BO Iris - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% < 1%
7 BING Charlotte - - - 1% 8% 40% 51%
8 CAI Ilana - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
9 LIN Yunong - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 16%
10 SHIN Elizabeth - 1% 7% 24% 40% 26% 2%
11 DE CASTRO Kai - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
12 ROBERTS Anastasia - - 5% 20% 39% 31% 6%
13 LI Savannah - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
14 ZHANG Zoey - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 2%
15 SHANG Arianna 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 1% -
16 MACKINTOSH Quinn 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
17 CHOI Cara 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
18 CHAN Jolene 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
19 YOUM Amelia 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
20 OTTAVIANO Maris 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2% -
21 LAI Piper 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4% -
22 BENNETT Emi 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
23 GE Deanna 9% 37% 38% 15% 2% -
24 NEWMAN-GILLIGAN Callahan 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
25 ZHILKOV Anya - 1% 6% 22% 40% 28% 3%
26 CAO Amelie 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
27 LI Christina 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
28 ZHU Ella 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% - -
29 WU Annie 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
30 CESAIRE Giselle - 1% 20% 45% 29% 5%
31 KOESTERS Cecilie 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
32 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
33 KOESTERS Florentine 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
34 LIANG Jasmine 2% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1% -
35 ZHENG Annalyn 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
36 LAU Victoria - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7% -
37 HUDSON Sophie 18% 40% 30% 9% 1% - -
38 ZHU Audrey 15% 35% 31% 15% 4% - -
39 DONG Katelyn 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
40 LONG McKenna 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
41 BALMER Zoe 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.