Sept 30 2023 @Vivo Youth FOIL NE Developmental Series

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Vivo Fencing Club - Haverhill, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GOODMAN Carden 100% 95% 70% 31% 6%
2 WANG Zeyu 100% 99% 90% 54% 10%
3 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 98% 80% 31%
4 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
5 DAWSON Myer 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
6 BENNETT Emi 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
7 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
8 SPERBER Miles 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
9 DENG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 8%
10 SHUTZER Lillian 100% 100% 92% 58% 16%
11 ROSENTHAL Hugh 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
12 CHEUNG Jayden 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
13 NG Deacon 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
14 LI Christina 100% 98% 73% 26% 3%
15 HENRY-HANSON Violet 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
16 DAVE Neil 100% 54% 12% 1% -
18 GOLI Arush 100% 92% 56% 13% 1%
19 IRWIN Juliet 100% 49% 12% 2% - -
20 ANDERSON Kai 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
21 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 78% 24% 3% -
22 CONNELLY Malcolm 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
23 KOEFERL Miles 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.