Air Force ROC (DV1A, DV2, VET) & RJCC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27% 4%
2 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
5 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
6 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
7 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 5%
8 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
9 PARK Justin W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
10 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
11 FOX Gavin 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
12 ROE Finnegan 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
13 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
14 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
15 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
16 VEDRE Neil 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
17 AYALA Carlos 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
18 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 7%
19 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 17%
20 LO Bradley 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
21 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 99% 88% 53% 18% 2% -
22 KO Zuriel 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% - -
23 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
24 DUDNICK Christian 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
25 FOREMAN Alexander E. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% 1%
26 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
27 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
28 RODRIGUEZ Erik 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
29 TUNG Ryan 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
30 TAN Ryan 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
31 LE Long 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% - -
32 RAY Evan 100% 28% 3% - - - -
33 OLARIO Raphael 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
34 BARROWS Hunter 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
35 BRUSHABER Colin 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.