Air Force ROC (DV1A, DV2, VET) & RJCC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Air Force Cadet Field House - Air Force Academy, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOX Gavin 100% 100% 100% 91% 59% 18%
2 DUDNICK Christian 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
3 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
3 THOMAS Texas 100% 99% 90% 50% 14% 1%
5 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
7 CHAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
8 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
9 RODRIGUEZ Erik 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
10 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
11 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 4%
12 LE Long 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
13 FOREMAN Alexander E. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
14 BARROWS Hunter 100% 79% 29% 5% - -
15 ROMAN Augusto 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
16 MENDOZA Christian 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3% -
17 OLARIO Raphael 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
18 MIGHELL Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
19 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
20 COLTER richard 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 21%
21 KIM Connor 100% 36% 4% - - -
22 RAY Evan 100% 82% 23% 3% - -
23 CAUTHRON Oliver 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
24 EZZELL Alexander 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
25 CHATTABOINA Haveesh 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
26 MERRIAM Isaiah G. 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.