James Madison University Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 1:30 PM

JMU University Rec Center - Harrisonburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DOYLE Jacob 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
2 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
5 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 31%
6 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
7 IVATURI Sivakrishna 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% < 1%
8 JHA Ritika 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
9 INGLE Kate 100% 100% 97% 71% 5% -
10 PISTONE Leah 100% 80% 37% 8% 1%
11 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 7%
12 KASPER Lucia 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
13 CONANT Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
14 CARLEY Aubrey 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
15 BOLTON Max 100% 100% 97% 76% 25% 1%
16 SENSENICH William 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
17 MEARS Caleb 100% 100% 94% 63% 20% 1%
18 CORBIN Ramsey 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 6%
19 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 38% 6% < 1% - -
20 BAYLESS Varnum 100% 100% 95% 66% 19% 1%
21 FIGLOZZI Cordelia 100% 75% 30% 5% -
22 LEE Sophia 100% 95% 57% 9% - -
23 GUEVARRA Grace 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1%
24 STEFFENSEN Lily 100% 99% 82% 36% 6% -
25 GIBSON Karino 100% 38% 7% 1% - -
26 CASTILLO Natalie 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
27 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
27 BALDA Quinlan 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
29 YOUNIS Ayat 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.