AAFA: Harry Rulnick Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

All-American Fencing Academy - Fayetteville, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
2 OWENS Elise 100% 97% 79% 43% 11%
3 IFORD Andrew W. 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
3 CULLITON Colton 100% 96% 68% 24% 3%
5 TAMIR Esu 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
6 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
7 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
8 HARWOOD Gray 100% 96% 74% 34% 7%
9 PRUT Anton 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
10 LEAKE Arlo 100% 89% 55% 18% 2%
11 ODEA Ryan 100% 80% 39% 10% 1%
12 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
13 SIERS David M. 100% 82% 43% 12% 1%
14 RIGBY Joseph 100% 98% 84% 47% 12%
15 SPELL Kayla 100% 86% 49% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.