Red Cedar Rumble

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 2:00 PM

East Lansing, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SLUSHER Gideon 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
2 KUE Temujin 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
3 KIM Ethan 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% -
5 ATKINSON Josiah 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
6 REAUME Nate 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
7 YEE Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
8 GORDON Kenneth 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
9 SALINAS Jessica L. 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
10 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
11 MICK Gabriel 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
12 NYKAMP Caleb 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34%
13 MCGRATH Polina S. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
14 HARRISON Gabriel 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
15 MINENNA Michael 100% 92% 62% 26% 5% -
16 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
17 GAVARRETE moises 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
18 BAKKE Alexander 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
18 MCKEAN Nicholas 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
20 WILCOX Jordyn 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 1%
21 EDWARDS Connor 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
22 YU Vera 100% 82% 40% 11% 1% -
23 DEDAJ Franc 100% 98% 80% 43% 11% 1%
24 MELAIS Yousef 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.