Event Results
IFC 2023 Fall ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WAGNER Elijah | V V D V V | V V V V | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 2 | GOSMEYER Matthew E. | V V V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 3 | MONARCH Tom | V D V V | V V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 3 | BOYLAN John R. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 5 | BLAKEMAN Michael J. | V V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 6 | CARDENAS Nathan A. | D V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 7 | WHAPHAM Mark | V D V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 8 | MEFFORD Mitchell | D D V V V | V V D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 9 | SCHRETTER Jayden | V V D V V | D | 1.5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| 10 | KILGORE Robert | V V V D D | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 10 | BENEDETTI Connor | V V D D V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 12 | SCHWAB Zach | D V V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 13 | MATTERN Gabriel | V V D D D | V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 14 | PASZEK Elijah | V D D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 15 | SCHWAB Jonah | D D D V D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 16 | HARRIS Asher | D V D D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 17 | GUTHRIE Andrew | D D V D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 18 | MBERIA Alexander | V D D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 19 | FULLER II Thomas | D D V D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 20 | KING Elizabeth | D D D V D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 21 | WOODRUFF Audrey | D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 22 | KANUK Jacob | D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 23 | KLING Kory | D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |