Event Results
The 9-State Fencing Cup RYC/RCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LIM JUWANA Maximilian | D V V V V | V V V V V | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 2 | ZHANG Howard | V V V V | V V V D | 1.2 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 3 | HAGN Maximilian | D V D V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 3 | LIU Qunyi | V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 5 | SHAPIRO Leo | V V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 6 | WANG Harrison | V D V V V | V V D | 1.4 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 7 | PARK Layne | V V V D | V V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 8 | TERENTIEV Michael | V D V V D | V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 9 | CHAN Brady | V V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 10 | ZHANG Mark | D V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 11 | RISMAN Edward | V V D D V | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 12 | CIECIEREGA MATTHEW | V D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 13 | PARK Sean | V V V D D | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 14 | SABINO Bennett | V D V D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 15 | O'KEEFE Brody | D D V V | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 16 | WANG Russell | D D D V D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 17 | NARAYAN Rishi | D V V V D | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 18 | BROOKS Grant | V D V V D | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 19 | PATEL Rohan | D V V D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 20 | LI Jayden | D V D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 21 | JIA Francis | V D D D V | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 22 | LLOYD Maxwell | V D V D D | D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 23 | NGUYEN Rhys | V D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 24 | HU Simon | D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 25 | MARINO Mark | D D V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 26 | KULJIEV Boyan | D D D D D | D | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| 27 | RICHERT-WANG Maximilian | D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 28 | PASSMAN Julian | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 29 | FERNAINE Thomas | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |