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Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, October 13, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 YU Stella 100% 99% 95% 80% 51% 22% 6% 1%
2 WONG Natalie 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 18% 4% -
3 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 14%
3 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 97% 87% 63% 32% 10% 1%
5 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
6 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
7 HWANG Sophie 100% 100% 98% 88% 65% 35% 11% 2%
8 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 10% 1%
9 YU Skylar 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
10 CONG Catherine 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
11 LEE Laon 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 2% -
12 BACKES Anastasia 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
13 RAMANI Priya 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - - -
14 YANG Renee 100% 99% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1% -
15 HSU Aubrie 100% 94% 72% 39% 14% 3% - -
16 TANG Athena 100% 82% 41% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.