Event Results
October Friday Night FencingSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LAUER Michael | V V V V V | V V V | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 2 | HE Lingyun Matthew | V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 3 | BAMPTON Nicholas J. | V V D V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 3 | MACNEIL Matthew | V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 5 | MACNEIL Sydney | D V V D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 6 | MBERIA Alexander | D D V V | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 7 | BURKHARDT Krista L. | V D D D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 8 | ALTENHOF Ian | D D D V D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 9 | LIU Siyi | D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 10 | DUTTON Kimberly | V D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 11 | STAUBITZ Marc | D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |