Windy City SYC # 9/RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:30 PM

The Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAGALLANES GABRIELA 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 25%
2 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 56%
3 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 LEE Jeemin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 25%
5 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
6 HAN Gian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
7 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
8 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
9 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
10 WANG DINA C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
11 CASHMAN Hailey 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
12 WANG Doreen 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
13 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
14 ZHOU Joi 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4% -
15 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
16 WU Elynna 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
17 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
18 QIN Selina 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
19 OS Danielle 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
20 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
21 ZHANG Queeny 100% 67% 23% 4% < 1% - -
22 RIVERA Leahy 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
23 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
24 WATSON Evelyn 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1% -
25 HUANG Natalie 100% 100% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
26 CLEMMER-BECHT Elise 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
27 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
28 JEANBAPTISTE Lauren 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
29 SHUSTA Lily 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
30 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
31 BRUNDIN Olivia 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
32 LIN Athena 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
33 KIM Alison 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
34 CAI Melody 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
35 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
35 HUFFMAN Yunia 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
37 KIM Natalie 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
38 REDEMANN Reagan 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
39 KAGAN Natalie 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1% -
40 ACERBI-SAVLOFF Emma 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
41 KOU Elisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
42 KIM Gia 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1% -
43 SMITH Samantha 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
44 KASHUBA Mila 100% 89% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
45 FORT Eliana 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
46 LIU Sophia 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
47 LINSON Anya 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
48 OWENS Genevieve 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
48 HARRIS Saniyah 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.