The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

USF 11th Annual Oktoberfence

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 1:00 PM

USF Rec Center North Gym - Tampa, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIAO Anthony - - - 1% 16% 60% 23%
2 STORER Alex - - 5% 24% 42% 25% 4%
3 CHOWDHURY Arman - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
3 WU Anthony - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
5 BRIGHT Colin - 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
6 PACK Christopher - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
7 WEDDLE Carson - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
8 SCHULTZ Jacob - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
9 GUEVARA Isaac - - 2% 13% 39% 37% 9%
10 MORALEVITZ Ryan - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
11 OZTEK Muzaffer Tonguc - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
12 LIVINGSTON Sean - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
13 RODRIGUEZ Mateo - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
14 MONTOYA Fernando - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
15 DESANTO Juniper 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
16 MARSHALL Henry 1% 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
17 SUNDOWN Shaune-Anthony 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
18 ISAACSON Mary Beth 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 4% -
19 KOMARAGIRI Ritvik 4% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
20 OCCIANO Jade 5% 48% 35% 10% 1% - -
21 PENNER Charlie 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
22 SPICER Gavin - 5% 24% 39% 25% 5% -
23 HUANG Brian - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
24 KIM Yongjai 9% 48% 33% 9% 1% - -
25 TOWRY Eli 1% 7% 29% 41% 20% 2% -
26 GIL MEDINA Victoria 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
27 DAY Noelle 51% 37% 11% 1% - - -
28 OLSON Rachel 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.