7th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 100% 95% 66% 14%
2 BOYKO Miles 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
3 ZHAO Bowen 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
3 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 97% 73% 19% 1%
5 KOKKER Thomas 100% 100% 94% 65% 13%
6 MURPHY Jonathan 100% 100% 91% 55% 12%
7 SALLEY Bryan 100% 100% 99% 86% 40%
8 TINSLEY Curtis 100% 93% 52% 12% 1%
9 KITCHEN Quentin 100% 64% 20% 3% -
10 HAYDEN Carter 100% 95% 66% 16% 1%
11 LESIMPLE Luke 100% 100% 96% 71% 19%
12 JEFFRIES Angela 100% 54% 2% - -
13 OAKES Liam 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
14 BEAMES Brandon 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
15 BROWN Lucas 100% 99% 72% 27% 4%
16 MEYER Joseph 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
17 STANTON Richard 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
18 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 92% 61% 20% 1%
19 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
20 BARTON Leo 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
21 SCOGGIN Daniel 100% 99% 78% 33% 4%
22 FOUST Abigail 100% 54% 13% 1% -
23 FALLON Teddy 100% 44% 8% 1% -
24 MARUSIC Brigitte 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
25 MILLER Kiersten 100% 86% 46% 11% 1%
26 ROTTMANN Tyler 100% 87% 27% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.