7th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BLACKWOOD Spencer L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
2 BROCKMEYER Tyler 100% 100% 98% 65% 14%
3 WATERMAN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
3 SZILAGYI László 100% 100% 98% 86% 44% 1%
5 BLANKENSHIP Magnus 100% 100% 86% 45% 8%
6 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 93% 64% 22%
7 LU Annamaria 100% 93% 58% 19% 2%
8 FULLER II Thomas 100% 95% 60% 19% 3% -
9 FERKO Miriam 100% 59% 14% 1% -
10 WILSON Seth 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
11 PARSONS Skyler 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
12 SOBERY Lillian 100% 77% 17% - -
13 SEIDEL Thomas 100% 99% 86% 48% 8% -
14 PARK Gavin 100% 98% 76% 33% 6% -
15 BOWLES Caden 100% 96% 25% 2% -
16 RAWLINS Luke 100% 92% 52% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.