Escrime d'Halloween RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 8:30 AM

The Edge Sports and Arts Academy - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GUTH Joseph	-	-	-	1%	7%	36%	56%
2	ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan	1%	7%	25%	37%	24%	6%
3	EDWARDS Maxon	-	-	2%	15%	41%	42%
3	SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn	-	1%	5%	21%	42%	31%
5	KUE Temujin	-	5%	22%	39%	28%	6%
6	MAVANI Krishna	-	2%	11%	33%	38%	14%	1%
7	LIU Yinhong	2%	13%	32%	34%	17%	3%
8	PALMA Nathan Anthony	-	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	28%
9	CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor	-	-	-	-	7%	40%	52%
10	MASSIMINO Andrew	-	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
11	HICKEY Connor	-	-	6%	29%	46%	17%	2%
12	BURGOS Jacob R.	-	-	-	4%	24%	52%	21%
13	DUNLAP Ian	4%	19%	35%	30%	11%	1%
14	DHOKTE Neev	2%	17%	37%	31%	11%	1%
15	TURNER Jackson	-	5%	22%	41%	26%	6%	-
16	LINDOW Connor	1%	8%	27%	36%	22%	6%	1%
17	MANDZY Theodor	-	1%	9%	29%	40%	21%
18	POWELL Sean	10%	31%	36%	18%	4%	-
19	KENNEDY christo	-	-	1%	9%	33%	45%	12%
20	TOWNE Benjamin	-	3%	14%	32%	33%	15%	2%
21	SUN Henry	-	6%	22%	36%	26%	9%	1%
23	NAZARIO Dominic	-	6%	30%	43%	18%	2%	-
24	BASKIN Lukáš	1%	10%	28%	36%	21%	4%
25	TARCHICHI Robby	2%	18%	37%	31%	10%	1%
26	ZMUDA Aiden	2%	18%	43%	30%	7%	-	-
27	RYAN Nash	11%	35%	36%	15%	2%	-	-
28	COPELAND Nigel	1%	7%	24%	37%	26%	6%
29	FRASER Rhys	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-
30	FINDLAY Zachary	4%	21%	37%	28%	10%	1%
31	KNIBBE Nathan	2%	14%	32%	34%	15%	2%
32	BERSCHEID Arthur	2%	14%	34%	34%	14%	2%
33	MOLDOVEANU Roman	14%	40%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
34	TAGORE Reyansh	16%	39%	33%	11%	1%	-	-
35	LIM-SEIWERT Tristan	29%	46%	21%	4%	-	-	-
36	KAKARLA Vahin	19%	42%	29%	8%	1%	-	-
37	WENGER Liam	44%	40%	14%	2%	-	-
38	CALESHU Bauer	38%	43%	16%	3%	-	-	-
38	MILLER Maxwell	34%	48%	16%	2%	-	-	-
38	CALINGO Collin	56%	35%	8%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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