The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

SoCal Scholastic League Individual Epee/Saber #1

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Brentwood High School - Brentwood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 1% 18% 48% 33%
2 WONG Baron - 2% 17% 52% 27% 3%
3 WOO Lucas 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
3 LEE Royce - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
5 HOCHSTEIN Tristan 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% < 1%
6 GADHVI Darius 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
7 KIM Remington 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
7 ROBINSON Dax - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
9 CHEONG Cameron - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
10 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
11 KOU Mason 17% 59% 21% 3% - -
12 YOUNG Luke 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
13 BONTHA Dhruv - - 7% 43% 42% 8%
14 BERTEL Florian 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
15 BLISS CalumDavid 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
16 COTTRELL Flynn - 8% 44% 42% 6% -
17 KOEHNLEIN Gavin 3% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
18 BERNSTEIN Ryan - 1% 9% 34% 44% 12%
19 DE LEONARDIS Nico - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
20 PARKE nathan - 1% 12% 37% 38% 12%
21 DAI Ethan 13% 44% 33% 9% 1% -
22 FERRIERE Theo 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
23 DROBNICK Elijah 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
24 HOLLY Joseph 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
25 JADIA Arnav 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
26 RICHTER Alexander 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
27 MINSKY Tristan 5% 30% 48% 15% 2% -
28 HOU Nathaniel 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
29 GOUGH Dominic 68% 29% 2% - - -
30 TONG Tyler 1% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.