October NAC

Div II Women's Épée

Thursday, October 26, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LORD Sarah-Eve 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
2 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
3 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
3 LEE yat ching 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
5 LIU Baihan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
6 WANG Jessie 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
7 DONGES Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
8 JIN Yanjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
9 BAKSA Frances E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
10 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
10 KUMAR Anusha 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 14%
12 CUEVA Viola 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
13 CREMONA Viola Maria 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
14 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
15 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
15 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
17 PULLEN Ayah 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
18 SHAKIR Inaaya 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
19 FREEMAN Kit 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
20 CHEN Jingyun 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 8%
21 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
22 ROMERO KURI Celeste 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
23 WALLER DEL VALLE Alanis 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
24 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
25 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
26 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
27 TAO Olivia A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
27 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 85% 44% 13% 2% - -
29 BROWN Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 26%
30 JARUSHI Amnee 100% 99% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
31 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
32 LEWIS Rachel 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
33 NOH Rachel 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% < 1%
34 LIN Victoria T. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
35 JUDICKE Olivia 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
36 VOROS Agnes 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
37 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
38 NGUYEN Ella 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
39 CHANG Chloe 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
40 ECHEVERRY Sofia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
41 IYER Ishana 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
42 CHEN Alicia 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
43 CAREY Michele S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
44 VASYAKIN Liana 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
45 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
46 GASPAR Paula 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
47 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
48 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
49 LOZIER Grace 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
50 BARCLAY Khyri 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
51 YOU Isabel B. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
52 BARJAK CARDENAS Claudine C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
53 NGUYEN Ashley L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
54 CHANG Abigail 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
55 MCCREARY Madeleine 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
56 NELSON Grace E. 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
57 SU Evelyn 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
58 DASILVA Mia 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
59 DUMAS Marie 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
60 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
61 PARSONS Mischa 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
62 COLELLA Lauren 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
63 KAUR Manroop 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
64 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
65 NANTON SHYAMALA M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
66 FERNLUND Helen 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
67 FANG Jocelyn 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
68 BARDIN Kira 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
69 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
70 HAYNES Antonia 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2%
71 SANDERS Charlotte 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
72 CHI Sarah 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
73 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
74 FAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
75 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
76 XU Celina 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
77 ERSHOVA Anastasia 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
78 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% - -
79 RALSTON Katy 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
80 HAHN Rebecca 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
81 ZHANG Helen 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
82 WILFORD Madigan 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
83 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
84 MILLER Cassandra 100% 32% 5% - - - -
85 MARTIN Adriana 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
86 HILBY Olivia 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
87 KOMAROW Anastasia 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
88 DAVIS Shanna 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
88 SAYER Laura 100% 96% 77% 46% 18% 4% -
90 SUN Joanna 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
91 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
92 MOSCOSO SERRANO Andrea 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1% -
93 SKILLMAN Natalie 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
94 RODA Thaleia 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
94 SARMIENTO Astrid 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.