October NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, October 27, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 KIEFER Lee O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
3 DUBROVICH Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
3 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
5 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
6 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
7 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
8 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 10%
9 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
10 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 32%
11 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 14%
12 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
13 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6% -
14 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
15 JANG Kimberley 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
16 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
17 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
18 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
19 CANDESCU Diana 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
20 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14% -
21 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 6%
22 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
23 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
24 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 1%
25 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 33%
26 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 9%
27 JO Mia C. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
28 VASILE Karina 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
29 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
30 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 23%
31 LUO Ziyue 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1%
32 CHOW Annabelle 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
33 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
33 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
35 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
36 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
37 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
38 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 5% -
38 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2% -
40 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
41 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
42 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 9%
43 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
44 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
45 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48% 4%
46 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
47 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
48 MI Aileen 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
49 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3% -
50 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 99% 93% 65% 20% 1%
51 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 98% 84% 45% 9% 1% -
52 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
52 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 1%
54 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
55 YANG Iris 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 1%
56 YANG Emma 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
57 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
58 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
59 YAO Ada 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
60 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 1%
61 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
62 FENG Grace 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
63 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29% 2%
64 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
65 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
66 ZHENG Julie 100% 82% 34% 7% 1% < 1%
67 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 2%
68 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 10%
69 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
70 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% -
71 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% -
72 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 4%
73 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
74 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
75 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33% 2%
76 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
77 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
78 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
79 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47% 10%
80 KOKES Aurora 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
81 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
82 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8% -
83 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
84 NELSON Tanya 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
85 RENTON Samantha 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4% -
86 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 3%
87 CHEN Renee 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
88 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 97% 71% 25% 4% -
89 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 97% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
90 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
91 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 2%
92 HAN Crystal 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% - -
93 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 10%
94 WANG Jasmine 100% 96% 71% 29% 6% - -
95 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
96 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 94% 68% 27% 4% - -
97 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 97% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
98 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6% -
98 SHIM Grace J. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
100 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 95% 68% 25% 3% - -
101 SHA Yi Ling 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
102 COOPER Piper W. 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
103 BARNETTE Zoe 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
104 DONG Angela 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
105 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
106 LUO Sandra J. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
107 SHEN Emilia 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
108 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 2%
109 ZHOU Catherine 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% - -
110 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
111 SHENG Chuxi 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
112 MEI Sarah 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
113 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
114 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 99% 63% 21% 3% - -
115 LI Sophia M. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
116 ROY Layla 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
117 LI Eleanor 100% 99% 85% 38% 7% - -
118 LAI Sophia 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
119 SUN Emily 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
120 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% - -
121 WANG CAROL 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% - -
122 YU Jane 100% 75% 29% 5% - - -
123 LEVY Avery 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
124 GREEN Marisa 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
125 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13% 1%
126 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
127 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 96% 76% 36% 7% 1% -
128 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
129 LIN Zhi Tong 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
130 MI Anning 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% - -
131 VIANNA Gabriella 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
132 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
132 DAVIES Ellie 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% 1% -
134 LEE emily 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
135 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
136 YANG Audrey 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
137 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
138 LOVE Georgina 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 1%
138 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% - -
140 RICHARD Clara 100% 78% 23% 2% - - -
141 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 8% -
141 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 92% 56% 16% 2% - -
143 HU Felice 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
144 DU Hannah 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
145 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 75% 32% 6% - - -
145 WANG Alison 100% 69% 19% 2% - - -
145 KO Claire 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
148 HSU Kaylin 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
149 YAN Noelle 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
149 SWANSON Alexa 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
151 DAVIS Logan 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
152 LUONG Tiffany C. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
152 ZHANG Eunice 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
154 WANG Yudi 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
155 WEBB Ella 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
156 MENDEZ SCHIK Hannah 100% 43% 6% - - - -
157 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
158 YEUNG Natalie 100% 5% - - - - -
159 RICHARD Dominique 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.