October NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
2 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
3 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
5 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
6 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
7 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
8 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
9 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
10 VAID Luke 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
11 REN James 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
12 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
13 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6%
14 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
15 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
16 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
17 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
18 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
19 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 3%
20 LEE Noah 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
21 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
22 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
23 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
24 AKS Ari 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
25 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
26 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
27 CHON Collin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
28 ZHOU James Y. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
29 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
30 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
31 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
32 GONG Jerry 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
33 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
34 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
35 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 24%
36 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
37 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
38 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
39 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
40 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
41 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
42 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
42 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
44 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
45 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 21%
45 BYON Julian 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
47 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
48 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
49 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
50 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
51 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 3%
52 SO Preston 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 12% 1%
53 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
54 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
54 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
56 WANG Yiyu Will 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
57 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
57 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
59 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
60 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
61 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
62 HU Zhao Xuanyu 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
63 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
64 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1%
65 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 10%
66 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
67 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 14%
68 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
69 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 53% 14%
70 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
71 GAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 14%
72 KIM Kendrick 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% 1%
73 PINTO Marcus 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
74 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
75 SOWERS Samuel 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
76 ZHENG LEON 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
77 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
78 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
79 HU Christopher 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
80 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
81 GUREVICH Savely 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
82 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
82 CHO RYAN 100% 90% 54% 15% 2% - -
84 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 8%
85 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26% 3%
86 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
87 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
88 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1%
89 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
89 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
91 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15% 1%
92 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
93 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
94 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
95 LIN Felix 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
96 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
97 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 10%
98 LIN Philip T. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
98 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
100 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
100 TIAGI George 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
102 WANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
103 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
103 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
105 FANG Eason 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1% -
106 KIM Theodore 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
107 HAO Anwen 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
108 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
109 SU Landon 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
110 LI Howard 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
111 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
111 LIN Steve 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
113 MATTOO Surya 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
114 LAUB William 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
114 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
116 WU Richard 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
117 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
117 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
119 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
120 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
121 VAUGHN Jason 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
122 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
123 OH Aster 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
124 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
125 XU Ivan 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
126 REHM Liam 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
127 HO Jacob 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2% -
128 LIGH Checed 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
129 CLARK Gabriel 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
130 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% -
131 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
132 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
133 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
134 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% -
135 HOLZ Lucas 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
136 ZHOU GUANLIN 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
137 AO Christopher 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
138 WAXLER Ryan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
139 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
140 VEDRE Neil 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
141 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
141 KO Zuriel 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
143 MATTOO Deven 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
144 CHAN Elliott 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
145 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
146 UEMOTO Ken 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
146 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 98% 75% 31% 6% - -
148 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 5%
149 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
150 KANG Evan 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
151 YE Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
152 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
153 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
153 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
155 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 6% 1%
156 HERRERA aragon 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
157 KESSLER Nathan 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
158 GUAN Dennis 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
159 SUN Andrew 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
160 BREGADZE NODAR 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
161 HARRINGTON Connor 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
162 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
163 TUNG Ryan 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 3% -
164 SUBA Lucas 100% 97% 58% 19% 3% - -
165 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
166 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
167 MCDONALD Finn 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
168 HRISTOV Kris 100% 97% 69% 29% 7% 1% -
169 TSAO Oliver 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
170 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
171 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 98% 72% 32% 7% 1%
172 WANG Max 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
173 WANG Max 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
174 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
175 IRWIN Peter 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
175 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
177 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
177 ELANGO Arjun 100% 75% 31% 6% - - -
179 SAKAYEDA Jacob 100% 93% 55% 16% 2% - -
179 STORER Julian 100% 92% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
181 HARDRICK Noah 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
182 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
183 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
183 BARRIOS Diego 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% 1%
185 PORTER Dupree 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
186 JONES Elijah 100% 87% 43% 10% 1% - -
187 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
188 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
189 ANSARI Umayr 100% 58% 8% - - - -
190 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
191 WANG HongXi 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
192 CHEN Samuel 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
193 SADHU Neiyam 100% 78% 31% 5% - -
194 WONG Caleb W. 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
195 ALAVE Kyle 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
195 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
197 WANG Weiyun 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
198 AUTREY Adrien 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
198 CRAIN Bennett 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
200 SIMMONS John M. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
200 KURILO Michael 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
202 BARROWS Hunter 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
202 JOHNSON Miles 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
204 FERTIL Ethan 100% 20% 2% - - -
205 PENG Chris 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
205 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
205 LEE Brady 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
208 MARTIN Quincy 100% 36% 5% - - - -
209 SMITH William 100% 16% 1% - - - -
209 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 59% 9% 1% - - -
211 WANG tiger 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
212 JIANG Terence 100% 20% 1% - - - -
212 FERBER Kenneth 100% 68% 23% 3% - - -
214 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.