October Fest

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 8:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - san jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 17%
2 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
3 HOUGHTON Zachary N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
3 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
5 UPENDER West 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 PETERSON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
7 WILLEY Emerson 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
8 MAK Osman K. 100% 100% 95% 66% 17% 1%
9 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
10 BECKER Ethan 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
11 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
12 HE Bourne 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
13 LIANG Zixuan R. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
14 ZHANG Jayden 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
15 NGUYEN Steven 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
16 LIAO Junjie 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
17 COONAN Seamus 100% 98% 71% 23% 2% -
18 TIKHONOVA Sofia 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
19 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 16% 1%
20 CHOI Andrew 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
21 LIANG Ethan 100% 94% 51% 10% 1% -
22 CHAUDHARY Raza 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
23 SHU Eric 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
23 BHANOT Arjun 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
25 MARTIN Lucas 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
26 HOH-CHOI Mia 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
27 BAUMAN Nicholas 100% 24% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.