The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

MoDuel E & Under Epee

E & Under Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Modern Duelists Fencing Academy - Elkton, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEIKEL Spencer - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
2 CHENH Justin - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
3 ASUNCION Arren - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
3 ANAFI Ari 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
5 WU Shaochi 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
6 CONLEY Seth - 3% 14% 29% 33% 18% 4%
7 SUN Ethan 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
8 ADAMS Gregory S. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
9 MARKOWITZ Sam - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
10 SIMS Martin L. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
11 POOSALA Jishnu Vardhan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
12 TRAN Hanna 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
13 SOKALSKI Edwin - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
14 KORMANN Joseph - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
15 HUTZ Michael B. - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
16 MURPHY Megan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
17 CHAWLA Aarav 1% 17% 41% 32% 9% 1%
18 CHOO Christopher Y. 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
19 WOHNER Kenneth S. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
20 SCHLEE Selma 15% 47% 30% 7% 1% -
21 MITCHELL Matthew D. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
22 HONTZ Nathaniel 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
23 FAKTOR Emily 12% 42% 33% 11% 2% -
23 ROBERTSON Samantha 1% 12% 39% 35% 11% 1%
25 LUNNING Karen 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
26 WHITTINGTON Kelly 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.