Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 NAIDL Josiah 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
3 SLUSHER Gideon 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
5 CROOM Tucker 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
6 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
7 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 98% 82% 35% 5%
8 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
9 WEISS Quintin 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 2%
10 MODADUGU Aryan 100% 97% 75% 38% 10% 1%
11 BALES Gabriel 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
11 RYAN Nash 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
13 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 2%
14 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 3%
15 MICK Gabriel 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
16 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
17 MORALES Isaac 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
18 MOLDOVEANU Roman 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% -
19 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 99% 84% 48% 13% 1%
20 MURPHY Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
21 YOUNG Jack 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% -
22 MA Gangjin 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 5%
23 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
24 TURNER Jackson 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
25 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
26 OSTFIELD Matteo 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
27 CALESHU Bauer 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
28 FRASER Alistair 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
29 WENGER Liam 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
30 FEEHAN Conor 100% 44% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.