Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 98% 80% 32% 4%
3 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
3 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
5 PAI Dong-Ying 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
6 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1%
7 NOWAK Joseph A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 20%
8 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 98% 80% 41% 9% -
9 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 86% 29%
10 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 10%
10 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1%
12 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 54%
13 ZHAO Bowen 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
14 LIU Yinhong 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
15 BOYKO Miles 100% 100% 99% 87% 25% 2%
16 BIESIADA Jan 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% -
17 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
18 CROOM Tucker 100% 96% 62% 16% 2% -
19 NAIDL Josiah 100% 94% 54% 11% 1% -
20 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 2%
21 HICKEY Connor 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
22 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 95% 61% 8% - -
23 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
24 KOKKER Thomas 100% 98% 76% 36% 8% 1%
25 OSTFIELD Matteo 100% 40% 5% - - -
26 VAGGALIS Denny 100% 38% 6% - - -
27 LAKAS Darius 100% 27% 2% - - -
27 MICK Gabriel 100% 83% 28% 2% - -
29 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
30 HAND Keith 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.