Durkan American Dream RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Durkan Fencing Academy - Garfield, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
2 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
3 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 19%
3 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 40%
5 LI Savannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 32%
6 KIM Claire 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 3%
7 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
8 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 97% 79% 39% 7% -
9 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21% 2%
10 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 48%
11 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
12 CHEN Sophie 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
13 LIU Caydence 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
14 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
15 CHOI Cara 100% 78% 33% 6% - -
16 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
17 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
18 BO Iris 100% 98% 72% 32% 7% 1%
19 KANG Annabella 100% 97% 80% 40% 7% -
20 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
21 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
22 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
23 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
24 BAULIN Zoya 100% 96% 74% 32% 5% -
25 PEVZNER Sophia 100% 85% 47% 12% 1% -
26 FEDER Acadia 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% 1% -
27 REZA Fukaina 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
28 LEO Jenna 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
29 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
30 MANGLANI Maya 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
31 ZHANG Caroline 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
32 GUSTAFSSON Anna 100% 77% 33% 6% - -
33 HUDSON Sophie 100% 89% 54% 16% 1% -
34 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
35 WAN Celine 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
36 HUNG Samara 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
37 ROSS Stella 100% 23% 2% - - -
38 BALIN Sophia 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.