Durkan American Dream RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 4:30 PM

Durkan Fencing Academy - Garfield, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	NG Jonathan	-	-	-	1%	11%	39%	48%
2	BONETTI Brayden	-	-	-	3%	16%	42%	39%
3	DOMINIQUE Remson	-	-	2%	13%	35%	38%	11%
3	BALE ATMAN	-	1%	9%	30%	40%	19%
5	SARWAHI Viraat	-	2%	16%	39%	35%	7%
6	CHAMBERS Miles	-	-	-	1%	6%	32%	61%
7	SAYAR Luke	4%	29%	41%	21%	4%	-
8	KENNEDY Tomás	2%	16%	37%	32%	11%	1%
9	YOOK Isaac	-	-	3%	18%	42%	36%
10	DEELY Hartigan	-	2%	9%	27%	39%	22%
11	KHANNA Adamantis	-	-	1%	10%	38%	50%
12	MORGAN Abrahm H.	-	-	3%	13%	33%	38%	13%
13	BARENBOYM Michael	1%	12%	32%	35%	16%	3%	-
14	NAYAGAM Nishant	7%	32%	37%	18%	4%	-	-
15	IVRON Daniel	34%	43%	20%	4%	-	-
16	LUCAS William	1%	10%	30%	36%	18%	4%	-
17	DE SIENA Salvatore	-	1%	10%	29%	37%	19%	2%
18	ONUGHA II Emeka	-	3%	17%	34%	32%	13%	1%
19	LIN Brendan	1%	12%	33%	36%	16%	2%
20	GAO Kai	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	2%
21	BAI Evan	-	2%	11%	31%	39%	17%
22	TRZEPLA Max	1%	10%	27%	35%	21%	5%
23	SONG Aidan	4%	21%	38%	28%	9%	1%
24	KARAVAS Nicholas	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
25	SADHU Neiyam	1%	7%	27%	41%	21%	3%
26	KETT Richard	1%	16%	35%	32%	13%	2%	-
27	TONG Kyle	1%	10%	26%	34%	22%	6%	1%
28	LOSQUADRO Joseph	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-	-
29	PORTER Dupree	-	3%	16%	35%	33%	12%	1%
30	SHINCHUK Jacob	9%	32%	38%	18%	4%	-
31	LIU Ryan	-	5%	23%	39%	26%	6%
32	GOMEZ Emilio	6%	23%	36%	26%	9%	1%
33	MACWILLIAMS Nicholas	1%	7%	24%	39%	25%	4%
34	SHEYNZON Benjamin	36%	43%	17%	3%	-	-
35	LAU Kyrus	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	4%	-
36	CHANG Timothy	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%	-
37	BENNETT Lachlan	2%	22%	39%	27%	9%	1%	-
38	REILLY Xavier	50%	38%	10%	1%	-	-
39	MIAO Heqi	-	3%	16%	35%	33%	12%	1%
40	ZWAKA Jonas	11%	32%	34%	17%	4%	-	-
41	FOUX Jonathan	11%	36%	36%	15%	3%	-
42	PAI Ayan	14%	34%	33%	15%	3%	-
42	KURIYAMA Marcus	2%	17%	45%	31%	4%	-
44	FIROOZI Sam	47%	39%	12%	2%	-	-	-
45	CHEN Vince	70%	26%	4%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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