Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 56%
2 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 97% 74% 26%
3 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 23%
3 YAP Nathan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
5 GALEMORE Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
6 DUELL Jacob P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
7 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
8 BOUSTANY Marc 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
9 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
10 GUMPRICH Joe P. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
11 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 100% 94% 58% 17% 2%
12 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 86% 46% 10%
13 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 100% 100% 97% 69% 17%
14 DOYLE Jacob 100% 95% 67% 22% 3% -
15 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
16 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 97% 68% 25% 3%
17 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 47% 2%
17 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 98% 77% 24% -
19 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
20 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
21 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% -
22 SCULLY Liam 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
23 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
24 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 58% 15% 1% - -
25 LIU Angela 100% 30% 3% - -
26 DEVINNEY Dale C. 100% 97% 73% 27% 4% -
27 GIBSON Karino 100% 73% 13% 1% - -
28 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
29 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 70% 23% 3% - -
30 KASPER Lucia 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
31 AZIZI Zahl 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
32 LEE Sophia 100% 71% 16% 1% - -
33 LOPEZ Leon 100% 96% 64% 20% 2%
34 MORRIS Michelle 100% 99% 87% 48% 8% -
35 TOMHAVE Aidan 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.