The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Learn More

Event Results

Senior Mixed Saber

Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)Surprise Map

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 3:30 PM William & Mary Adair Gym · Williamsburg, VA, USA
35 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 FENKER William M. V V V V V V V V V V V 5.5 6 +0.5
2 XU Ivan D V V V D V V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
3 SEMP Brannon A. V V V D V D V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
3 RAUSCHER Ryan V V V D V V V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
5 NOVEY Eric V V V V V V V V D 4.1 6 +1.9
6 CLARK Keagan V V V V V D V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
7 JACKSON Evan V V D V D V V V D 2.3 4 +1.7
8 FENG Brendan D V V D V V V V D 1.6 4 +2.4
9 XU Emily T. V V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
10 CASSIDY Connor J. V V V V V V V D 3.3 6 +2.7
11 DELALIO Peter V V V V D D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
12 CATLETT III Robert V D D V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
13 MAY Matthew V V D D V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
14 CAYABAN Jessica D V V D V V V D 1.5 4 +2.5
15 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. V D V D V D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
16 PARCELL Colby V D D V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
17 ROCHARDSON Payten V V D V D V D 4.0 4 -
18 LAUDO Joseph D D V V D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
19 SU Ji D V D V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
20 STAM August M. V D D V V D D 4.0 3 -1.0
21 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed D V V V D D D 2.3 3 +0.7
22 LEE Matthew D V V V D D D 2.9 3 +0.1
23 URIBE David D V D V V D D 1.9 3 +1.1
24 STEVENS Chrysanthi Z. D D D D V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
24 WALLACE Leo D D D D V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
26 WANG Erica D D D D V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
27 FEIRA Justin D V V D D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
28 NI Hao V D D V D D D 3.0 2 -1.0
29 WALKER Joseph D D V D D D D 3.1 1 -2.1
30 BUNCHER Michael D D D D D D V D 2.3 0 -2.3
30 JIN Adam D D D D D D V D 1.9 0 -1.9
32 OHASHI Jax D D D D D D V D 2.4 0 -2.4
33 KUHLMAN John B. D D D D D V D 2.8 1 -1.8
34 LESTYAN Cat D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
35 PRICE Jesse D D D D D D D 3.0 0 -3.0

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%