Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
2 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 24%
3 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
3 SYMMANK Callen 100% 99% 88% 53% 15%
5 ZHANG Hanson 100% 99% 84% 48% 12%
6 NAIDL Micah 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
7 FERGUSON Levi 100% 100% 94% 65% 24% 3%
8 LINEBERRY Caden 100% 96% 72% 33% 6%
9 MARTIN Wesley 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
10 DIFRANK Avery 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
11 XU Rambert 100% 92% 57% 18% 2%
12 DIFRANK Tae 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
13 HICKEY Dylan 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
14 KALINA Levi 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
15 WENGER Rowan 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
16 ROMENESKO Bryce 100% 62% 16% 2% - -
17 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
18 HALLETTMANES Ezra 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
19 KOTCH Brodie 100% 58% 17% 2% -
20 MCERLEAN Liam 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
21 NG Gavin 100% 47% 10% 1% -
22 SHAH Aadi 100% 69% 19% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.