Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11%
2 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 88% 52% 17% 2%
3 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 76% 33% 7% 1%
5 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 91% 59% 21% 3%
6 FU Jason 100% 99% 88% 52% 14% 1%
7 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 81% 41% 10% 1%
8 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 89% 44% 10% 1% -
9 GERACI Paul A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
10 GINZBURG Adam 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
11 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
12 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
13 JOHNSON Jay 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1%
14 CURTY Jack 100% 87% 50% 15% 2%
15 KENT Dwain 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
16 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 41% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.