WRA Div 2 and Open WE

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Western Reserve Academy Field House - Hudson, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
2 JOBE Connor 100% 100% 77% 35% 6% -
3 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
3 KIM Sebastian 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
5 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
6 ALALAMI Amer 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
7 LASIYCHUK Nikita 100% 100% 86% 46% 11% -
8 ZHANG James 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
9 APANASEWICZ Ethan 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 8% 1%
10 ZHANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
11 KARAMAGA Ganza 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
12 LI Josh 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
13 WILLIAMS Richard 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
14 CHOI Yunwoo 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
15 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
16 LAVI Tessa 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
17 WANG Kaiyan 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
18 LIU Quincy 100% 96% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
19 PALFI Ava 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.