November NAC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, November 10, 2023 at 8:45 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
2 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 HSU Leah 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 11%
3 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
5 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
7 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
8 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
9 HAN Emma 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
10 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
11 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
12 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
13 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
14 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
15 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
16 SHEARER Alena 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
17 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
18 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 9%
19 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
20 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
21 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
22 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 27%
23 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
24 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
25 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
26 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 5%
27 KWON Ava 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
28 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
29 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
30 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
31 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
32 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
33 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
34 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 11%
35 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
36 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
37 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
38 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
39 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
40 KIM Karen 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
41 GAY Sasha 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
42 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
43 DHAR Rana 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
44 LIU Hannah 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
45 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
45 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
47 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
48 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
49 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
50 STONE Coral 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
51 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
52 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 11%
53 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
54 LONG Jessie 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
55 SINGER Ellery 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
56 CHOI Charlotte 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
56 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
58 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6% -
59 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
60 YUEN Nicole 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
61 HO Sophia 100% 86% 36% 7% 1% -
62 ZHAI AMY 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
63 YU Stella 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
64 GONG Joy 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
65 MAK Kaitlin 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
66 BLAKE Anna 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
67 CROOKS Riley 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
68 CONG Anne 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
69 SUNG Isabella 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
70 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
71 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% -
72 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
73 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
74 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
75 MOON Claire 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
76 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
77 YE Madeleine 100% 95% 67% 28% 7% 1% -
78 KIM Satie 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2% -
79 CHERON Helene 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
80 KIM Saeren 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
81 TISSONE Veronica 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
82 JIANG Evelyn 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
83 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
84 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
85 ZHU Avril 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1%
86 KIM Grace M. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
87 HUANG Neila 100% 99% 84% 43% 11% 1%
88 LAI Karen 100% 37% 6% - - -
89 KIRBY Skye 100% 36% 6% - - -
90 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23% 3%
91 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
92 TONG Laurie 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
93 STAPLEY Claire 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
94 MACKAY Katherine 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
95 SUNG Olivia 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
96 BROWN Aria 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
97 LIN Annika 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
98 CAI Veronica 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
99 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
100 TIAN Cynthia 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 1%
101 ASPIRAS Avery 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
102 CHEN Elaine 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
103 SHMULER Fiona 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
104 LI Sonia 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
105 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
106 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
107 KIM Audrey 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
108 VATS Ishita 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
109 SHEN Emily 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
110 BAERENWALD Welles 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
111 ZHANG Olivia 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
112 PADHI Kaavya 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
113 JUILLERAT Elina 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
114 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
115 LEE Kaitlin 100% 88% 48% 13% 1% -
115 REN Katherine 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% -
117 ZHANG Ashley 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
118 KESSLER Amelia 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
119 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 39% 5% - - -
120 SYED Azra 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
120 YU Skylar 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
122 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 25% 3% - - - -
122 LEIGH Adalene 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
122 KIM Alice 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
122 JUNG Sienna 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
126 KO Ariel 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
127 AKULOVA Eva 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.