November NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Monday, November 13, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
3 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
5 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
7 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
8 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
9 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
10 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
11 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
12 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
13 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
14 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
15 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
16 XIAO julie 100% 100% 93% 61% 18%
17 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 78% 34% 6%
18 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
19 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
20 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
21 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
22 MANN Sophia J. 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% -
23 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
24 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
25 CHUNG Hailey 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 1%
26 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 1%
27 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
28 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
29 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
30 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
31 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 96% 71% 26%
32 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
33 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
34 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 8%
35 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
36 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
37 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
38 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
39 HUNG Anna 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
40 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
41 LI YING CHU 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
42 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
43 LU Amy 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
44 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
45 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 11%
46 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
47 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 3%
48 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
49 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
50 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 18%
50 LI Jiaying 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
52 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
53 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
54 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
55 STONE Coral 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
56 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
57 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
58 YANG Lea 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
59 GUVEN Coco 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
60 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 1%
61 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
62 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 95% 64% 24% 5% -
63 LEE Lauren 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
64 WU Helen 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
65 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
66 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
67 KINKADE Ellie 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
68 DHAR Layla 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
69 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 4%
70 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
71 DAI Olivia 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
72 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
73 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
74 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
75 ZENG Sarah 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
76 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
77 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
78 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
79 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 99% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
80 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
81 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 4%
82 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
83 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
84 GUGALA Hanna 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
85 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
86 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
87 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
88 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
89 CHAN Jolene 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
90 DONG Angel 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 3% -
91 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
92 SCOTT Eve 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
92 CHIANG Melissa 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3% -
92 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
95 XI Shining 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
95 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
95 SAYSON Andrea 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
98 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
99 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
99 YU Zhiang 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
101 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
102 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 75% 31% 5%
103 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
103 WILSON Eva 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
105 LO Chloe 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
106 BROCK Sydney 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
107 CAO Sophie 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
108 XU Emily T. 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
108 HUANG Rachael 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
110 WANG yining 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
111 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
112 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 4%
113 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
113 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
115 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 92% 55% 17% 2% -
116 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
117 CHAVAN Arya 100% 98% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
118 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
119 NAYAK Esha 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
120 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
120 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
122 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% 1%
123 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% -
124 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
125 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
126 PADANILAM Lily 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
127 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% -
128 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
129 NEUMAN Ella 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
129 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 94% 38% 7% 1% - -
131 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
132 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
133 HUANG MADELINE 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
134 LEOU Korina 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
135 YAO Rainie 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 11% 1%
136 SHEARER Alena 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% - -
137 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
138 SCHOEW Margot 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
139 LI Alexis 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
140 LAURI Keira 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
141 SADANI Jyotika 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
142 LAGOON Miriam 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
143 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
144 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
145 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
146 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
147 LITTLE Avery 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
147 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
149 KIM Elyssa 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
150 LIU Kelly 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
151 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
152 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
152 ALAMI Amira 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
154 SUHALIM Maree 100% 95% 30% 4% - - -
155 ONG Lauren 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
156 CHI Claire 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
157 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
158 BROWNER June 100% 74% 30% 7% 1% - -
159 FREEMAN Armine 100% 96% 63% 23% 4% - -
160 NEWMARK Ellie 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
161 DEHON Inès 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
162 LIN Annika 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
163 KIM Karen 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
164 BAINS Nandini 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
165 BAERENWALD Welles 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% -
166 VATS Ishita 100% 6% - - -
167 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
168 FANG Sophie 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% -
169 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
170 SMITH Sydney 100% 8% - - - - -
170 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
172 SOUTTER Sandra 100% 8% - - - - -
172 ALDERFER Katherine 100% 25% 3% - - - -
174 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 22% 2% - - - -
175 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 76% 29% 6% 1% - -
176 SWEETLAND Lucy 100% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.