7th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Chloe - - - - - 8% 92%
2 DUAN Sophie - - - - 4% 26% 70%
3 KIM Sydney - - - 7% 41% 52%
3 BAE Yooju - - - - 6% 32% 62%
5 HAN Gian - - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
6 LI Alice - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
7 YU Sophie - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
8 PARK Lauren - - - 5% 21% 44% 30%
9 LI Joy - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
10 ZEE Savannah - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
11 ZHOU Joi - - 3% 21% 48% 27%
12 DAI Iris Yuyang - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
13 KENSICKI Phoebe - - 1% 9% 32% 44% 14%
14 YAO Abby - - 4% 21% 40% 30% 5%
15 LUCAS Ava 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
16 FAN Sophia 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
17 DENG Claire - - 2% 17% 46% 34%
18 ZHANG Gwenyth - - 3% 19% 53% 25%
19 SOE Hayleigh - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
20 HUGHES Olivia - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
21 SAIFEE Sakina - 1% 7% 28% 41% 20% 3%
22 LIU Ariana - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
22 KIM Lauren - 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 2%
24 WANG Doreen - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
25 LIM Kora - 3% 21% 42% 28% 4%
26 RUI Jessie - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
27 XIA Isabella 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
28 CHANG Olivia - 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% -
29 LIM Kensie - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
30 ZOU JIAYING 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
31 NEUMANN Erika 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
32 QIAO Lori-Ann - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
33 LEE Zoe - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12% -
34 XI Sophia 1% 9% 36% 39% 14% 1%
35 MIYOSHI Kylie - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
36 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
37 LIU Ashley 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
38 DESAI Zoya - 5% 26% 45% 21% 3%
39 HSIAO Ariya 7% 32% 41% 18% 2% -
40 ZHANG Queeny 8% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
41 DVOIRIS Maya 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
42 FANG Kelervia - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25% 1%
43 XU Ella - 7% 27% 40% 21% 4% -
44 ZHANG Hannah 2% 15% 40% 35% 7% -
45 COLIC LANI 11% 45% 35% 9% 1% -
46 YU Xintong - 17% 38% 32% 11% 1%
46 SHEN Gloria - 3% 21% 42% 29% 5%
48 CHUN Ami 5% 29% 41% 21% 4% - -
49 HSU Rachel - 4% 24% 40% 26% 6% -
50 SANTIAGO Rania 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
51 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
52 SAIFEE Zahra 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
53 YUNG Zoe 5% 30% 42% 20% 3% -
54 KO Adeline 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
55 LI Audrey 2% 21% 45% 26% 5% -
56 TAI Taphanie 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% -
57 KIM Natalie 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
58 CHEN Madeleine 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
59 TU Averie 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
60 CHEN Yifan 5% 29% 41% 21% 4% - -
61 VIERTEL Etta 74% 23% 3% - - - -
62 CHENG Audrey 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
63 LIU Mia 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
64 ANSARI Sara 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
65 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 20% 49% 25% 5% - -
66 NICOLETTI Thea 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
67 YANG Byanca 33% 53% 13% 1% - - -
68 KIM Phoebe 52% 41% 7% 1% - -
69 YATAVELLI Aria 62% 33% 5% - - -
70 LUO Olivia 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
71 YIN Anthea 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
72 HONDA Emi 45% 45% 9% 1% - - -
73 TIAN Claire 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.