Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
2 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
3 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
5 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
6 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
7 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
8 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 17%
9 POPESCU Tudor 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
10 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
11 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
12 MAGALONG William 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
13 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
14 HARRA Alexander 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
15 GLEBA Nico 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
16 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13%
17 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 80% 35% 6%
18 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
19 AMRANI David 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
20 BRINTON III Robert H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
21 JURMAN Therin 100% 100% 93% 58% 17% 1%
22 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
23 YANG Dylan 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
24 LI Ayren 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
25 SURESH Rohan 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
26 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 100% 86% 31% 4% - -
27 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 90% 54% 16% 2%
28 LEE Eugene 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
29 ZHAO Brandon 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
30 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
31 TANG xianchi 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
32 GROTH Caleb 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
33 TAM Kyle 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% < 1% -
34 LEE Jason N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
35 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
36 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
37 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
38 ZHAO Brian 100% 95% 65% 24% 3% -
39 PETERSON Dale 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 8%
40 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
41 BLEIL Tyler 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
42 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
43 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
44 YEE Charles E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
45 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
46 CHENG Austyn 100% 99% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
47 VO Jonathan 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
48 HAN Alexander 100% 97% 78% 37% 6% - -
49 GARCIA HERNANDEZ Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 11%
50 GODOVICH David 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
51 BROOKS Matthew 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
52 BAI Brian 100% 99% 84% 37% 7% 1%
53 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 24%
54 SOLOPOULOS James 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
55 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
56 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 14% 1%
57 LAO Kevin 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
58 BAKSHI Aman 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
59 HU Alan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
60 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
61 WUN Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
62 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 85% 38% 8% 1% - -
63 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
64 HAYLON Caleb 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
65 TESSMAN Henry 100% 67% 17% 2% - -
66 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 100% 100% 95% 66% 22% 2%
67 GECKELER James 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
68 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
69 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
70 REZA Farazi 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
71 PETINO Leonardo 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
72 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
73 PAN Brian 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
74 VALENTINE David 100% 66% 16% 2% - -
75 GOODMAN Elliott 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
76 MUNDAHL Brandon D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
77 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% - -
78 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
79 MAGAZU Christopher 100% 58% 11% 1% - -
80 MCENTEE Owen 100% 33% 4% - - -
81 SABATINO Patrick 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
82 DAILEY Noah 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
83 BRATTAIN Trey 100% 28% 3% - - - -
84 SHECKMAN Willow 100% 63% 16% 2% - -
85 MONTERROSO Sebastian 100% 44% 7% 1% - - -
85 JENKINS Michael 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.