Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 4:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 24% 2%
2 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
3 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
3 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
5 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
6 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
7 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
8 CHEN Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
9 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 49%
10 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
11 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
12 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
13 GONG zihao 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
14 HUROWITZ Max 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 3%
15 LAU Justin Y. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
16 BONDARENCO Vlad 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
17 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% < 1% -
18 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
19 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
20 LAUB William 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
21 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
22 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
23 LIN Steve 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
24 RYAN Kai 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
25 HUANG Tom 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
26 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 14%
27 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
28 WEN Edward 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
29 HOFFMAN Timothy R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 21%
30 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
31 WANG Weiyun 100% 99% 88% 45% 10% 1% -
32 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
33 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
34 TOZZI Massimo 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
35 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
36 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
37 MARGULIS Jared 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
38 ZHENG LEON 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
39 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
39 AO Christopher 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
41 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
42 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
43 KOGAN Nikita 100% 100% 96% 68% 21% 2% -
43 SEN Christian 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
45 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
46 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
47 LIM Brandon 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
48 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% - -
49 SIMMONS John M. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
50 HUFF Clayton R. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
51 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
52 WEI William 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
53 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
54 CHENG Brandon 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
55 SUBA Lucas 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
56 ZHOU Grant 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
57 GONG ziqian 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
58 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
59 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
59 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
61 MANESCU Miron 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
62 PODDAR Shameek 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
63 LEE Anderson 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
64 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
65 DUARTE PALOMINO Miguel 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -
66 ZONG Yujie 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
67 LIBBY Benjamin 100% 63% 12% 1% - - -
68 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
68 TSAO Alister 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.