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The PeachTree Battle RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Silver Backs - Suwanee, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	TREBON Hayden	-	-	-	6%	34%	59%
2	GLENNON Sebastian J.	-	2%	15%	37%	35%	11%
3	TIYA BIAYA K.	-	-	-	7%	37%	55%
3	YANG Boyan	-	-	-	4%	18%	42%	35%
5	CORBIN Bennett	-	-	3%	15%	36%	35%	10%
6	LIN Kason	-	-	7%	33%	47%	12%
7	RACHEL Dylan	-	1%	8%	34%	45%	12%
8	MALIKOV Zinnun	-	4%	30%	46%	18%	2%
9	MODULLA Yathin R.	-	1%	7%	28%	42%	22%
10	YANAMANDRA Sidhansh	-	3%	13%	31%	34%	16%	3%
11	ROCKWELL Nolan	3%	17%	35%	30%	12%	2%	-
12	PATEL Kushal	-	3%	22%	46%	26%	4%
13	RAVI Arjun	1%	14%	40%	33%	11%	1%
14	RIGGINS Joshua	-	1%	12%	34%	39%	14%
15	CHUNG Joseph	3%	23%	46%	24%	4%	-
16	REDDY Daksh	12%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-	-
17	CHA Patrick	11%	45%	33%	10%	1%	-
18	NAM Nathaniel	29%	54%	15%	1%	-	-
19	ERIZE Alejandro	37%	46%	15%	2%	-	-
20	FAN Yuchen	-	8%	40%	40%	12%	1%
21	JIANG Harry	26%	48%	22%	3%	-	-
22	MAYO Candler	2%	13%	32%	34%	15%	2%	-
23	SORANNO James	62%	33%	5%	-	-	-
24	LEE Christopher	18%	38%	31%	11%	2%	-	-
25	SCHIFFHAUER Bram	52%	42%	6%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.