The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

7th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HE Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
2 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
3 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
3 BLAETZ Isadora 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
5 GARINEY tanvi 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
6 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
7 CHO Anya 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
8 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
9 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
10 FU Shannon 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
11 LIN Isabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
12 CHI Zoe 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
13 SHERMAN Olivia 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
14 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
15 KOU Cynthia 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
16 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
17 LEE Emma 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
18 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
19 LI Carlie 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
20 JIANG Xinchen 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
21 ZHAO Emma 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
22 LEE Valerie 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
23 LI Chloe 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
24 ZHAO Ellie 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
25 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
26 LINARES Olivia 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
27 ZHANG Rose 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% -
28 MAI Mailan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
29 CHO Jacey 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
29 RAPTIS Layla 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
31 CHANG Allison 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
32 REN Ivanka 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
33 UEMURA Lyllia 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
34 PAK Ella 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.